Florida Polling Roundup

Last updated October 15, 2026. Next update November 1, 2026. 27 polls added this update.

A running list of public polls on Florida races and ballot questions, with the pollster, the sponsor, the field dates, the sample, and a link to the original release. Updated on the 1st and 15th of each month. Each race shows its three most recent polls; earlier polls are in the archive. An entry marked Incomplete is one whose release or coverage left out the field dates, the sample size, the margin of error, or the undecided or opposition share; the line beneath it says which.

Hide polls with incomplete information

Federal races

Florida — U.S. Senate (special)

One point per poll, on the last day it was in the field. Open points are sponsored releases, filled points independent. Minor candidates are not plotted. Earlier polls are plotted too, and listed in the archive.

Stetson University Center for Public Opinion Research Independent New

Moody +11

Oct. 1–9, 2026 · 716 registered voters (modeled likely voters) · ±4.2 · Online non-probability panel

Ashley Moody (R) 52 · Angie Nixon (D) 41 · Undecided 6

Stetson University release → The Capitolist → Florida’s Voice → Florida Politics →

St. Pete Polls for Florida Politics Independent New

Moody +1.9

Oct. 5–7, 2026 · 836 likely voters · ±3.4 · Automated phone (57%) and P2P SMS (43%)

Ashley Moody (R) 46.8 · Angie Nixon (D) 44.9 · Someone else 2.3 · Undecided 6.0

St. Pete Polls (PDF) → Florida Politics → CBS12 →

YouGov Independent New

Moody +5

Sept. 28–Oct. 5, 2026 · 3,813 likely voters · ±2.7 · Text invitation to web survey

Ashley Moody (R) 49 · Angie Nixon (D) 44 · Other 1 · Undecided 5

Newsweek → CBS12 →

Targoz Market Research for James Madison Institute Sponsored New

Moody +10

Sept. 28–Oct. 4, 2026 · 857 likely voters (of 1,200 registered voters) · ±2.77 (full sample of 1,200 registered voters) · Online

Ashley Moody (R) 52 · Angie Nixon (D) 42 · Another candidate 2 · Undecided 4

James Madison Institute → Poll marginals (PDF) → Florida’s Voice → Florida Politics →

Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy for NBC6/Telemundo Station Group Independent New

Moody +10

Sept. 28–Oct. 1, 2026 · 625 registered voters likely to vote · ±4.0 · Live telephone

Ashley Moody (R) 50 · Angie Nixon (D) 40 · Neil Gillespie (I) 2 · Undecided 8

NBC6 South Florida → CBS12 → NBC News →

Statewide races

Florida — Governor

One point per poll, on the last day it was in the field. Open points are sponsored releases, filled points independent. Earlier polls are plotted too, and listed in the archive.

Fabrizio, Lee & Associates for Donalds campaign Sponsored New Incomplete

Donalds +6

Through Oct. 11, 2026 · 1,200 likely voters

Byron Donalds (R) 49 · David Jolly (D) 43 · Other/Undecided 8

Not reported: field dates, margin of error.

Florida’s Voice → Florida Politics → ElectionsFLA →

Change Research for Freedom Project USA Sponsored New

Tie

Oct. 8–10, 2026 · 920 likely voters (of 1,106 registered voters) · ±3.1 (modeled) · Online opt-in

David Jolly (D) 47 · Byron Donalds (R) 47 · Undecided 5 · Would not vote 1

Change Research methodology statement → ElectionsFLA → 270toWin →

MDW Communications Sponsored New Incomplete

Donalds +2

Through Oct. 10, 2026 · 2,351 voters

Byron Donalds (R) 46 · David Jolly (D) 44 · Other/Undecided 10

Not reported: field dates, margin of error.

ElectionsFLA → Florida Politics →

Stetson University Center for Public Opinion Research Independent New

Donalds +11

Oct. 1–9, 2026 · 716 registered voters (modeled likely voters) · ±4.2 · Online non-probability panel

Byron Donalds (R) 52 · David Jolly (D) 41 · Other 3 · Undecided 5

Stetson University release → The Capitolist → Florida’s Voice → Florida Politics →

St. Pete Polls for Florida Politics Independent New

Donalds +0.1

Oct. 5–7, 2026 · 836 likely voters · ±3.4 · Automated phone (57%) and P2P SMS (43%)

Byron Donalds (R) 44.7 · David Jolly (D) 44.6 · Someone else 3.9 · Undecided 6.9

St. Pete Polls (PDF) → Florida Politics → CBS12 →

YouGov Independent New

Donalds +2

Sept. 28–Oct. 5, 2026 · 3,813 likely voters · ±2.7 · Text invitation to web survey

Byron Donalds (R) 47 · David Jolly (D) 45 · Other 1 · Undecided 7

Newsweek → CBS12 →

Targoz Market Research for James Madison Institute Sponsored New

Donalds +10

Sept. 28–Oct. 4, 2026 · 857 likely voters (of 1,200 registered voters) · ±2.77 (full sample of 1,200 registered voters) · Online

Byron Donalds (R) 52 · David Jolly (D) 42 · Another candidate 3 · Undecided 3

James Madison Institute → Poll marginals (PDF) → Florida’s Voice → Florida Politics →

Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy for NBC6/Telemundo Station Group Independent New

Donalds +7

Sept. 28–Oct. 1, 2026 · 625 registered voters likely to vote · ±4.0 · Live telephone

Byron Donalds (R) 48 · David Jolly (D) 41 · Other 1 · Undecided 10

NBC6 South Florida → CBS12 → NBC News →

Florida — Attorney General

One point per poll, on the last day it was in the field. Open points are sponsored releases, filled points independent. Earlier polls are plotted too, and listed in the archive.

St. Pete Polls for Florida Politics Independent New

Uthmeier +2.6

Oct. 5–7, 2026 · 836 likely voters · ±3.4 · Automated phone (57%) and P2P SMS (43%)

James Uthmeier (R) 45.3 · José Javier Rodríguez (D) 42.7 · Undecided 12.1

St. Pete Polls (PDF) → Florida Politics →

Targoz Market Research for James Madison Institute Sponsored New

Uthmeier +10

Sept. 28–Oct. 4, 2026 · 857 likely voters (of 1,200 registered voters) · ±2.77 (full sample of 1,200 registered voters) · Online

James Uthmeier (R) 50 · José Javier Rodríguez (D) 40 · Another candidate 2 · Undecided 7

James Madison Institute → Poll marginals (PDF) → Florida’s Voice → Florida Politics →

St. Pete Polls for Florida Politics Independent

Uthmeier +1.4

Sept. 15–17, 2026 · 913 likely voters · ±3.2 · Automated phone (57%) and text (43%)

James Uthmeier (R) 43.0 · José Javier Rodríguez (D) 41.6 · Undecided 15.4

St. Pete Polls (PDF) → Action News Jax →

Florida — Chief Financial Officer

One point per poll, on the last day it was in the field. Open points are sponsored releases, filled points independent. Earlier polls are plotted too, and listed in the archive.

St. Pete Polls for Florida Politics Independent New

Ingoglia +2.3

Oct. 5–7, 2026 · 836 likely voters · ±3.4 · Automated phone (57%) and P2P SMS (43%)

Blaise Ingoglia (R) 44.3 · Annette Taddeo (D) 42.0 · Undecided 13.8

St. Pete Polls (PDF) → Florida Politics → Wikipedia — 2026 Florida CFO election →

Targoz Market Research for James Madison Institute Sponsored New

Tie

Sept. 28–Oct. 4, 2026 · 857 likely voters (of 1,200 registered voters) · ±2.77 (full sample of 1,200 registered voters) · Online

Blaise Ingoglia (R) 43 · Annette Taddeo (D) 43 · Another candidate 4 · Undecided 10

James Madison Institute → Poll marginals (PDF) → Florida’s Voice → Florida Politics →

SEA Polling & Strategic Design for Annette Taddeo campaign Sponsored

Tie

Sept. 7–13, 2026 · 701 likely voters · ±3.7

Annette Taddeo (D) 42 · Blaise Ingoglia (R) 42 · Undecided 16

Political Cortadito → Florida Politics →

Florida — Agriculture Commissioner

Targoz Market Research for James Madison Institute Sponsored New

Simpson +11

Sept. 28–Oct. 4, 2026 · 857 likely voters (of 1,200 registered voters) · ±2.77 (full sample of 1,200 registered voters) · Online

Wilton Simpson (R) 50 · Joey Mendoza Atkins (D) 39 · Another candidate 3 · Undecided 8

James Madison Institute → Poll marginals (PDF) → Florida’s Voice → Florida Politics →

Florida — Governor — Republican primary

Targoz Market Research for James Madison Institute Sponsored Incomplete

Donalds +31

July 20–26, 2026 · Likely Republican primary voters (subsample of 1,400 RV) · ±2.6 (full sample)

Byron Donalds 49 · Jay Collins 18 · Paul Renner 8 · James Fishback 4

Not reported: undecided share.

Primary, Aug. 18: Donalds 47.8, Collins 25.2, Fishback 10.5, Renner 8.5.

Florida’s Voice →

Cygnal Sponsored

Donalds +31

July 12–13, 2026 · 500 likely Republican primary voters · ±4.4

Byron Donalds 43 · James Fishback 12 · Jay Collins 11 · Paul Renner 2 · Undecided 31

Primary, Aug. 18: Donalds 47.8, Collins 25.2, Fishback 10.5, Renner 8.5.

Cygnal →

Ballot questions

Florida — Amendment 1 — budget stabilization fund

Stetson University Center for Public Opinion Research Independent New Incomplete

Oct. 1–9, 2026 · 716 registered voters (modeled likely voters) · ±4.2 · Online non-probability panel

Support 46 · Undecided 23

Not reported: opposition share.

Stetson University release → The Capitolist → Florida’s Voice → Florida Politics →

Targoz Market Research for James Madison Institute Sponsored New

Support +10

Sept. 28–Oct. 4, 2026 · 857 likely voters (of 1,200 registered voters) · ±2.77 (full sample of 1,200 registered voters) · Online

Support 42 · Oppose 32 · Undecided 26

James Madison Institute → Poll marginals (PDF) → Florida’s Voice → Florida Politics →

Florida — Amendment 2 — agricultural property-tax exemption

Stetson University Center for Public Opinion Research Independent New Incomplete

Oct. 1–9, 2026 · 716 registered voters (modeled likely voters) · ±4.2 · Online non-probability panel

Support 56 · Undecided 23

Not reported: opposition share.

Stetson University release → The Capitolist → Florida’s Voice → Florida Politics →

Targoz Market Research for James Madison Institute Sponsored New

Support +39

Sept. 28–Oct. 4, 2026 · 857 likely voters (of 1,200 registered voters) · ±2.77 (full sample of 1,200 registered voters) · Online

Support 57 · Oppose 18 · Undecided 25

James Madison Institute → Poll marginals (PDF) → Florida’s Voice → Florida Politics →

Florida — Amendment 3 — homestead property-tax exemption

One point per poll, on the last day it was in the field. Open points are sponsored releases, filled points independent. Earlier polls are plotted too, and listed in the archive.

Stetson University Center for Public Opinion Research Independent New Incomplete

Oct. 1–9, 2026 · 716 registered voters (modeled likely voters) · ±4.2 · Online non-probability panel

Support 56 · Undecided 23

Not reported: opposition share.

Stetson University release → The Capitolist → Florida’s Voice → Florida Politics →

St. Pete Polls for Florida Politics Independent New

Support +6.9

Oct. 5–7, 2026 · 836 likely voters · ±3.4 · Automated phone (57%) and P2P SMS (43%)

Support 41.9 · Oppose 35.0 · Undecided 23.1

St. Pete Polls (PDF) → FOX 13 Tampa Bay →

Targoz Market Research for James Madison Institute Sponsored New

Support +42

Sept. 28–Oct. 4, 2026 · 857 likely voters (of 1,200 registered voters) · ±2.77 (full sample of 1,200 registered voters) · Online

Support 63 · Oppose 21 · Undecided 15

James Madison Institute → Poll marginals (PDF) → Florida’s Voice → Florida Politics →

Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy for NBC6/Telemundo Station Group Independent New

Support +29

Sept. 28–Oct. 1, 2026 · 625 registered voters likely to vote · ±4.0 · Live telephone

Support 55 · Oppose 26 · Undecided 19

NBC6 South Florida → NBC6 — Amendment 3 detail → RISMedia →

McLaughlin & Associates for Associated Industries of Florida Sponsored New

Support +25

Sept. 28–Oct. 1, 2026 · 800 likely voters · ±3.5 · Landline, cellphone, and text-to-web

Support 53 · Oppose 28 · Undecided 19

The Capitolist → The Floridian → Florida Politics →

County and municipal races

St. Petersburg — Mayor — runoff

St. Pete Polls for Florida Politics Independent

Crist +25

Aug. 31–Sept. 1, 2026 · 509 likely voters · ±4.3 · Automated phone (IVR)

Charlie Crist 52 · Ken Welch 27 · Undecided 21

Florida Politics → Wikipedia — 2026 St. Petersburg mayoral election →

St. Petersburg — Mayor — first round

St. Pete Polls Independent

Crist +15

July 27–28, 2026 · 351 likely voters · ±5.2 · Automated phone (IVR)

Charlie Crist 34 · Ken Welch 19 · Gabbard 15 · Large 9 · Batdorf 3 · Scruggs 3 · Undecided 17

Primary, Aug. 18: Crist 35.2, Welch 20.7; runoff Nov. 3.

St. Pete Polls (PDF) → Florida Politics →

St. Pete Polls Independent

Crist +14

July 18, 2026 · 379 likely voters · ±5.0 · Automated phone (IVR)

Charlie Crist 31 · Ken Welch 17 · Gabbard 11 · Large 9 · Batdorf 4 · Scruggs 2 · Undecided 26

Florida Politics →

Tallahassee — Mayor — first round

St. Pete Polls for Florida Politics Independent

Ausley +5

July 19–20, 2026 · 345 likely voters · ±5.3 · Automated phone (IVR)

Loranne Ausley 29 · Jeremy Matlow 24 · Daryl Parks 14 · Michael Foust 3 · Undecided 31

Primary, Aug. 18: Matlow 36.0, Ausley 33.8, Parks 25.3, Foust 4.9; Matlow–Ausley runoff Nov. 3.

Florida Politics →

Polling Sources

Florida pollsters and university labs

Firms and labs that field and publicly release their own Florida surveys.

St. Pete Polls Automated-phone polls of municipal, legislative, and statewide races; the only regular source of city-level polling in the state. Releases usually appear first on Florida Politics.
UNF Public Opinion Research Lab Statewide and Jacksonville/Duval; independent; posts crosstabs.
FAU PolCom Lab Statewide and national, with Mainstreet Research USA.
FAU Business & Economics Polling Initiative Hispanic voters and consumer sentiment.
Stetson University Center for Public Opinion Research DeLand; statewide races and amendments, online panel; posts a full report each wave.
Saint Leo University Polling Institute Intermittent statewide issue polls.
Sachs Media Tallahassee; statewide issue and amendment polling.
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy Jacksonville-based; media-sponsored statewide and local polls.
Victory Insights Naples; statewide and Southwest Florida local races.
Bendixen & Amandi International Miami; Miami-Dade and Hispanic electorate.
Clearview Research Tallahassee; statewide, often for advocacy clients.
Cherry Communications Fields the Florida Chamber’s statewide polls.
The Political Matrix Tallahassee; legislative and local.
Ragnar Research Partners Republican; statewide and legislative.
Data Targeting Gainesville; Republican legislative polling.

Partisan and campaign pollsters active in Florida

Results from these firms are usually sponsored.

Change Research Democratic; online panels.
Hart Research Associates Democratic; DGA and labor clients.
Public Policy Polling Democratic; automated phone.
EMC Research Democratic; municipal clients including Miami and Orlando.
Cygnal Republican; posts toplines.
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates Republican; Fort Lauderdale.
Tyson Group Republican; Donalds-aligned releases in 2025–26.
Targoz Market Research Fields the James Madison Institute polls.
Frederick Polls Democratic.
Rasmussen Reports Republican-leaning; listed for completeness, weighted accordingly.
InsiderAdvantage Republican-leaning; releases its own statewide toplines.
Quantus Insights Republican-leaning; releases its own statewide toplines.
SEA Polling & Strategic Design Sarasota; Democratic campaign clients.
McLaughlin & Associates Republican; fields the Associated Industries of Florida surveys.
MDW Communications Democratic; statewide.

National pollsters that field Florida

Emerson College Polling
Quinnipiac University Poll Occasional.
Mainstreet Research USA With FAU PolCom Lab.
YouGov Large online panel samples of Florida.

Institutional sponsors

Organizations that commission and release Florida polls.

Florida Chamber of Commerce Political Institute Quarterly statewide polls.
Associated Industries of Florida Statewide, usually via Florida Politics.
James Madison Institute Conservative think tank; statewide.
Democratic Governors Association
Republican Governors Association

Trackers and databases

Political press

Newspapers

Broadcast and public media

How the list is built

Every two weeks the sources above are checked for new public releases. A poll is listed if it was fielded among Florida voters, reports a topline on a race or ballot question, and identifies the pollster. Sample size, population, field dates, and margin of error are taken from the original release wherever one exists; if only press coverage is available, that is the link, and gaps are left blank rather than guessed and the entry is marked incomplete. Where the election has since happened, the result is shown beneath the poll. Nothing here is a polling average and nothing is weighted by quality.

Corrections and omissions: burnettc@fau.edu.

Every poll listed since July 1, 2026 is kept in the Florida Polling Archive.