Florida Polling Roundup

Last updated October 1, 2026. Next update October 15, 2026. 13 polls added this update.

A running list of public polls on Florida races and ballot questions, with the pollster, the sponsor, the field dates, the sample, and a link to the original release. Updated on the 1st and 15th of each month. Each race shows its three most recent polls; earlier polls are in the archive.

Federal races

Florida — U.S. Senate (special)

One point per poll, on the last day it was in the field. Open points are sponsored releases, filled points independent. Earlier polls are plotted too, and listed in the archive.

Change Research for Freedom Project USA Sponsored New

Moody +1

Sept. 25–27, 2026 · 1,063 likely voters · ±2.8

Ashley Moody (R) 48 · Angie Nixon (D) 47 · Other/Undecided 5

Change Research → 270toWin →

Stetson University Center for Public Opinion Research Independent New

Moody +11

Sept. 14–21, 2026 · 830 likely voters · ±4.3 · Online non-probability panel (Qualtrics)

Ashley Moody (R) 51 · Angie Nixon (D) 40 · Other 3 · Undecided 5

Stetson CPOR release (PDF) → The Floridian → Florida Politics →

InsiderAdvantage Sponsored New

Moody +7

Sept. 20–21, 2026 · 600 likely voters · ±4.0 · Mixed-mode text and online panel

Ashley Moody (R) 49 · Angie Nixon (D) 42 · Other 2 · Undecided 7

InsiderAdvantage → Political Wire →

St. Pete Polls for Florida Politics Independent New

Moody +0.4

Sept. 15–17, 2026 · 913 likely voters · ±3.2 · Automated phone (57%) and text (43%)

Ashley Moody (R) 45.2 · Angie Nixon (D) 44.8 · Other 2.9 · Undecided 7.1

St. Pete Polls (PDF) → Florida Politics →

Quantus Insights Sponsored New

Moody +7

Sept. 8–10, 2026 · 733 likely voters · ±4.1

Ashley Moody (R) 50 · Angie Nixon (D) 43 · Other 3 · Undecided 4

The Floridian → Florida Politics → Wikipedia — 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Florida →

Statewide races

Florida — Governor

One point per poll, on the last day it was in the field. Open points are sponsored releases, filled points independent. Earlier polls are plotted too, and listed in the archive.

Change Research for Freedom Project USA Sponsored New

Jolly +2

Sept. 25–27, 2026 · 1,063 likely voters · ±2.8

David Jolly (D) 48 · Byron Donalds (R) 46 · Other/Undecided 6

Change Research → 270toWin → Political Wire →

Stetson University Center for Public Opinion Research Independent New

Donalds +12

Sept. 14–21, 2026 · 830 likely voters · ±4.3 · Online non-probability panel (Qualtrics)

Byron Donalds (R) 51 · David Jolly (D) 39 · Other 5 · Undecided 5

Stetson CPOR release (PDF) → The Floridian → Florida Politics →

St. Pete Polls for Florida Politics Independent New

Donalds +0.1

Sept. 15–17, 2026 · 913 likely voters · ±3.2 · Automated phone (57%) and text (43%)

Byron Donalds (R) 43.5 · David Jolly (D) 43.4 · Other 4.3 · Undecided 8.9

St. Pete Polls (PDF) → Florida Politics →

Florida — Attorney General

St. Pete Polls for Florida Politics Independent New

Uthmeier +1.4

Sept. 15–17, 2026 · 913 likely voters · ±3.2 · Automated phone (57%) and text (43%)

James Uthmeier (R) 43.0 · José Javier Rodríguez (D) 41.6 · Undecided 15.4

St. Pete Polls (PDF) → Action News Jax →

Change Research for Freedom Project USA Sponsored

Tie

Sept. 7–9, 2026 · 1,107 likely voters · ±2.8

José Javier Rodríguez (D) 46 · James Uthmeier (R) 46

Change Research → Tampa Free Press →

Florida — Chief Financial Officer

SEA Polling & Strategic Design for Annette Taddeo campaign Sponsored New

Tie

Sept. 7–13, 2026 · 701 likely voters · ±3.7

Annette Taddeo (D) 42 · Blaise Ingoglia (R) 42 · Undecided 16

Political Cortadito → Florida Politics →

Change Research for Freedom Project USA Sponsored

Tie

Sept. 7–9, 2026 · 1,107 likely voters · ±2.8

Annette Taddeo (D) 44 · Blaise Ingoglia (R) 44

Change Research → The Floridian →

Florida — Governor — Republican primary

Targoz Market Research for James Madison Institute Sponsored

Donalds +31

July 20–26, 2026 · Likely Republican primary voters (subsample of 1,400 RV) · ±2.6 (full sample)

Byron Donalds 49 · Jay Collins 18 · Paul Renner 8 · James Fishback 4

Primary, Aug. 18: Donalds 47.8, Collins 25.2, Fishback 10.5, Renner 8.5.

Florida’s Voice →

Cygnal Sponsored

Donalds +31

July 12–13, 2026 · 500 likely Republican primary voters · ±4.4

Byron Donalds 43 · James Fishback 12 · Jay Collins 11 · Paul Renner 2 · Undecided 31

Primary, Aug. 18: Donalds 47.8, Collins 25.2, Fishback 10.5, Renner 8.5.

Cygnal →

Ballot questions

Florida — Amendment 3 — homestead property-tax exemption

One point per poll, on the last day it was in the field. Open points are sponsored releases, filled points independent. Earlier polls are plotted too, and listed in the archive.

Stetson University Center for Public Opinion Research Independent New

Support +26

Sept. 14–21, 2026 · 830 likely voters · ±4.3 · Online non-probability panel (Qualtrics)

Support 51 · Oppose 25 · Undecided 24

Stetson CPOR release (PDF) → Florida Politics →

St. Pete Polls for Florida Politics Independent New

Support +14.5

Sept. 15–17, 2026 · 913 likely voters · ±3.2 · Automated phone (57%) and text (43%)

Support 44.9 · Oppose 30.4 · Undecided 24.8

St. Pete Polls (PDF) →

UNF Public Opinion Research Lab Independent

Support +29

July 8–17, 2026 · 848 likely midterm voters · ±3.8

Support 61 · Oppose 32

UNF PORL release (PDF) →

County and municipal races

St. Petersburg — Mayor — runoff

St. Pete Polls for Florida Politics Independent New

Crist +25

Aug. 31–Sept. 1, 2026 · 509 likely voters · ±4.3 · Automated phone (IVR)

Charlie Crist 52 · Ken Welch 27 · Undecided 21

Florida Politics → Wikipedia — 2026 St. Petersburg mayoral election →

St. Petersburg — Mayor — first round

St. Pete Polls Independent

Crist +15

July 27–28, 2026 · 351 likely voters · ±5.2 · Automated phone (IVR)

Charlie Crist 34 · Ken Welch 19 · Gabbard 15 · Large 9 · Batdorf 3 · Scruggs 3 · Undecided 17

Primary, Aug. 18: Crist 35.2, Welch 20.7; runoff Nov. 3.

St. Pete Polls (PDF) → Florida Politics →

St. Pete Polls Independent

Crist +14

July 18, 2026 · 379 likely voters · ±5.0 · Automated phone (IVR)

Charlie Crist 31 · Ken Welch 17 · Gabbard 11 · Large 9 · Batdorf 4 · Scruggs 2 · Undecided 26

Florida Politics →

Tallahassee — Mayor — first round

St. Pete Polls for Florida Politics Independent

Ausley +5

July 19–20, 2026 · 345 likely voters · ±5.3 · Automated phone (IVR)

Loranne Ausley 29 · Jeremy Matlow 24 · Daryl Parks 14 · Michael Foust 3 · Undecided 31

Primary, Aug. 18: Matlow 36.0, Ausley 33.8, Parks 25.3, Foust 4.9; Matlow–Ausley runoff Nov. 3.

Florida Politics →

Polling Sources

Florida pollsters and university labs

Firms and labs that field and publicly release their own Florida surveys.

St. Pete Polls Automated-phone polls of municipal, legislative, and statewide races; the only regular source of city-level polling in the state. Releases usually appear first on Florida Politics.
UNF Public Opinion Research Lab Statewide and Jacksonville/Duval; independent; posts crosstabs.
FAU PolCom Lab Statewide and national, with Mainstreet Research USA.
FAU Business & Economics Polling Initiative Hispanic voters and consumer sentiment.
Stetson University Center for Public Opinion Research DeLand; statewide races and amendments, online panel; posts a full report each wave.
Saint Leo University Polling Institute Intermittent statewide issue polls.
Sachs Media Tallahassee; statewide issue and amendment polling.
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy Jacksonville-based; media-sponsored statewide and local polls.
Victory Insights Naples; statewide and Southwest Florida local races.
Bendixen & Amandi International Miami; Miami-Dade and Hispanic electorate.
Clearview Research Tallahassee; statewide, often for advocacy clients.
Cherry Communications Fields the Florida Chamber’s statewide polls.
The Political Matrix Tallahassee; legislative and local.
Ragnar Research Partners Republican; statewide and legislative.
Data Targeting Gainesville; Republican legislative polling.

Partisan and campaign pollsters active in Florida

Results from these firms are usually sponsored.

Change Research Democratic; online panels.
Hart Research Associates Democratic; DGA and labor clients.
Public Policy Polling Democratic; automated phone.
EMC Research Democratic; municipal clients including Miami and Orlando.
Cygnal Republican; posts toplines.
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates Republican; Fort Lauderdale.
Tyson Group Republican; Donalds-aligned releases in 2025–26.
Targoz Market Research Fields the James Madison Institute polls.
Frederick Polls Democratic.
Rasmussen Reports Republican-leaning; listed for completeness, weighted accordingly.
InsiderAdvantage Republican-leaning; releases its own statewide toplines.
Quantus Insights Republican-leaning; releases its own statewide toplines.
SEA Polling & Strategic Design Sarasota; Democratic campaign clients.

National pollsters that field Florida

Emerson College Polling
Quinnipiac University Poll Occasional.
Mainstreet Research USA With FAU PolCom Lab.

Institutional sponsors

Organizations that commission and release Florida polls.

Florida Chamber of Commerce Political Institute Quarterly statewide polls.
Associated Industries of Florida Statewide, usually via Florida Politics.
James Madison Institute Conservative think tank; statewide.
Democratic Governors Association
Republican Governors Association

Trackers and databases

Political press

Newspapers

Broadcast and public media

How the list is built

Every two weeks the sources above are checked for new public releases. A poll is listed if it was fielded among Florida voters, reports a topline on a race or ballot question, and identifies the pollster. Sample size, population, field dates, and margin of error are taken from the original release wherever one exists; if only press coverage is available, that is the link, and gaps are left blank rather than guessed. Where the election has since happened, the result is shown beneath the poll. Nothing here is a polling average and nothing is weighted by quality.

Corrections and omissions: burnettc@fau.edu.

Every poll listed since July 1, 2026 is kept in the Florida Polling Archive.