Craig M. Burnett

Professor and Chair, Department of Political Science, Florida Atlantic University

Florida Polling Archive

Last updated October 1, 2026. 28 polls since July 1, 2026.

Every poll that has appeared in the Florida Polling Roundup, newest first within each race. Nothing is removed.

Federal races

Florida — U.S. Senate (special)

35 40 45 50 55 July 8–17 Sept. 25–27 UNF Public Opinion Research Lab · July 8–17, 2026 · Moody 50 Change Research · Sept. 7–9, 2026 · Moody 47 Quantus Insights · Sept. 8–10, 2026 · Moody 50 St. Pete Polls · Sept. 15–17, 2026 · Moody 45.2 InsiderAdvantage · Sept. 20–21, 2026 · Moody 49 Stetson University Center for Public Opinion Research · Sept. 14–21, 2026 · Moody 51 Change Research · Sept. 25–27, 2026 · Moody 48 UNF Public Opinion Research Lab · July 8–17, 2026 · Nixon 42 Change Research · Sept. 7–9, 2026 · Nixon 47 Quantus Insights · Sept. 8–10, 2026 · Nixon 43 St. Pete Polls · Sept. 15–17, 2026 · Nixon 44.8 InsiderAdvantage · Sept. 20–21, 2026 · Nixon 42 Stetson University Center for Public Opinion Research · Sept. 14–21, 2026 · Nixon 40 Change Research · Sept. 25–27, 2026 · Nixon 47 Moody 48 Nixon 47
One point per poll, on the last day it was in the field. Open points are sponsored releases, filled points independent.

Change Research Sponsored

Moody +1

Sept. 25–27, 2026 · 1,063 likely voters · ±2.8

Ashley Moody (R) 48 · Angie Nixon (D) 47 · Other/Undecided 5

Change Research → 270toWin →

InsiderAdvantage Sponsored

Moody +7

Sept. 20–21, 2026 · 600 likely voters · ±4.0 · Mixed-mode text and online panel

Ashley Moody (R) 49 · Angie Nixon (D) 42 · Other 2 · Undecided 7

InsiderAdvantage → Political Wire →

St. Pete Polls Independent

Moody +0.4

Sept. 15–17, 2026 · 913 likely voters · ±3.2 · Automated phone (57%) and text (43%)

Ashley Moody (R) 45.2 · Angie Nixon (D) 44.8 · Other 2.9 · Undecided 7.1

St. Pete Polls (PDF) → Florida Politics →

UNF Public Opinion Research Lab Independent

Moody +8

July 8–17, 2026 · 848 likely midterm voters · ±3.8 · Phone (54%) and text-to-web (46%)

Ashley Moody (R) 50 · Angie Nixon (D) 42 · Other 1 · Would not vote 1 · Undecided 6

UNF PORL release (PDF) → UNF PORL press page →

Statewide races

Florida — Governor

35 40 45 50 55 July 8–17 Sept. 25–27 UNF Public Opinion Research Lab · July 8–17, 2026 · Donalds 46 Targoz Market Research · July 20–26, 2026 · Donalds 45 Hart Research Associates · Aug. 10–13, 2026 · Donalds 45 Change Research · Sept. 7–9, 2026 · Donalds 44 St. Pete Polls · Sept. 15–17, 2026 · Donalds 43.5 Stetson University Center for Public Opinion Research · Sept. 14–21, 2026 · Donalds 51 Change Research · Sept. 25–27, 2026 · Donalds 46 UNF Public Opinion Research Lab · July 8–17, 2026 · Jolly 41 Targoz Market Research · July 20–26, 2026 · Jolly 38 Hart Research Associates · Aug. 10–13, 2026 · Jolly 46 Change Research · Sept. 7–9, 2026 · Jolly 47 St. Pete Polls · Sept. 15–17, 2026 · Jolly 43.4 Stetson University Center for Public Opinion Research · Sept. 14–21, 2026 · Jolly 39 Change Research · Sept. 25–27, 2026 · Jolly 48 Jolly 48 Donalds 46
One point per poll, on the last day it was in the field. Open points are sponsored releases, filled points independent.

St. Pete Polls Independent

Donalds +0.1

Sept. 15–17, 2026 · 913 likely voters · ±3.2 · Automated phone (57%) and text (43%)

Byron Donalds (R) 43.5 · David Jolly (D) 43.4 · Other 4.3 · Undecided 8.9

St. Pete Polls (PDF) → Florida Politics →

Hart Research Associates Sponsored

Jolly +1

Aug. 10–13, 2026 · 600 likely voters · ±4.0 · Landline, cell, and text-to-web; English and Spanish

David Jolly (D) 46 · Byron Donalds (R) 45 · Undecided 9

DGA release →

Targoz Market Research Sponsored

Donalds +7

July 20–26, 2026 · 1,400 registered voters; likely-voter subsample reported · ±2.6

Byron Donalds (R) 45 · David Jolly (D) 38 · Undecided 17

Florida’s Voice →

UNF Public Opinion Research Lab Independent

Donalds +5

July 8–17, 2026 · 848 likely midterm voters · ±3.8 · Phone (54%) and text-to-web (46%)

Byron Donalds (R) 46 · David Jolly (D) 41 · Other 5 · Undecided 6

UNF PORL release (PDF) → UNF PORL press page →

Florida — Attorney General

St. Pete Polls Independent

Uthmeier +1.4

Sept. 15–17, 2026 · 913 likely voters · ±3.2 · Automated phone (57%) and text (43%)

James Uthmeier (R) 43.0 · José Javier Rodríguez (D) 41.6 · Undecided 15.4

St. Pete Polls (PDF) → Action News Jax →

Change Research Sponsored

Tie

Sept. 7–9, 2026 · 1,107 likely voters · ±2.8

José Javier Rodríguez (D) 46 · James Uthmeier (R) 46

Change Research → Tampa Free Press →

Florida — Chief Financial Officer

SEA Polling & Strategic Design Sponsored

Tie

Sept. 7–13, 2026 · 701 likely voters · ±3.7

Annette Taddeo (D) 42 · Blaise Ingoglia (R) 42 · Undecided 16

Political Cortadito → Florida Politics →

Change Research Sponsored

Tie

Sept. 7–9, 2026 · 1,107 likely voters · ±2.8

Annette Taddeo (D) 44 · Blaise Ingoglia (R) 44

Change Research → The Floridian →

Florida — Governor — Republican primary

Targoz Market Research Sponsored

Donalds +31

July 20–26, 2026 · Likely Republican primary voters (subsample of 1,400 RV) · ±2.6 (full sample)

Byron Donalds 49 · Jay Collins 18 · Paul Renner 8 · James Fishback 4

Primary, Aug. 18: Donalds 47.8, Collins 25.2, Fishback 10.5, Renner 8.5.

Florida’s Voice →

Cygnal Sponsored

Donalds +31

July 12–13, 2026 · 500 likely Republican primary voters · ±4.4

Byron Donalds 43 · James Fishback 12 · Jay Collins 11 · Paul Renner 2 · Undecided 31

Primary, Aug. 18: Donalds 47.8, Collins 25.2, Fishback 10.5, Renner 8.5.

Cygnal →

Ballot questions

Florida — Amendment 3 — homestead property-tax exemption

20 30 40 50 60 70 June 22–24 Sept. 14–21 Sachs Media · June 22–24, 2026 · Support 64 UNF Public Opinion Research Lab · July 8–17, 2026 · Support 61 St. Pete Polls · Sept. 15–17, 2026 · Support 44.9 Stetson University Center for Public Opinion Research · Sept. 14–21, 2026 · Support 51 Sachs Media · June 22–24, 2026 · Oppose 36 UNF Public Opinion Research Lab · July 8–17, 2026 · Oppose 32 St. Pete Polls · Sept. 15–17, 2026 · Oppose 30.4 Stetson University Center for Public Opinion Research · Sept. 14–21, 2026 · Oppose 25 Support 51 Oppose 25
One point per poll, on the last day it was in the field. Open points are sponsored releases, filled points independent.

Stetson University Center for Public Opinion Research Independent

Support +26

Sept. 14–21, 2026 · 830 likely voters · ±4.3 · Online non-probability panel (Qualtrics)

Support 51 · Oppose 25 · Undecided 24

Stetson CPOR release (PDF) → Florida Politics →

St. Pete Polls Independent

Support +14.5

Sept. 15–17, 2026 · 913 likely voters · ±3.2 · Automated phone (57%) and text (43%)

Support 44.9 · Oppose 30.4 · Undecided 24.8

St. Pete Polls (PDF) →

UNF Public Opinion Research Lab Independent

Support +29

July 8–17, 2026 · 848 likely midterm voters · ±3.8

Support 61 · Oppose 32

UNF PORL release (PDF) →

County and municipal races

St. Petersburg — Mayor — runoff

St. Petersburg — Mayor — first round

St. Pete Polls Independent

Crist +15

July 27–28, 2026 · 351 likely voters · ±5.2 · Automated phone (IVR)

Charlie Crist 34 · Ken Welch 19 · Gabbard 15 · Large 9 · Batdorf 3 · Scruggs 3 · Undecided 17

Primary, Aug. 18: Crist 35.2, Welch 20.7; runoff Nov. 3.

St. Pete Polls (PDF) → Florida Politics →

St. Pete Polls Independent

Crist +14

July 18, 2026 · 379 likely voters · ±5.0 · Automated phone (IVR)

Charlie Crist 31 · Ken Welch 17 · Gabbard 11 · Large 9 · Batdorf 4 · Scruggs 2 · Undecided 26

Florida Politics →

Tallahassee — Mayor — first round

St. Pete Polls Independent

Ausley +5

July 19–20, 2026 · 345 likely voters · ±5.3 · Automated phone (IVR)

Loranne Ausley 29 · Jeremy Matlow 24 · Daryl Parks 14 · Michael Foust 3 · Undecided 31

Primary, Aug. 18: Matlow 36.0, Ausley 33.8, Parks 25.3, Foust 4.9; Matlow–Ausley runoff Nov. 3.

Florida Politics →

Corrections and omissions: burnettc@fau.edu.