Florida — U.S. Senate (special)
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July 8–17
Oct. 1–9
UNF Public Opinion Research Lab · July 8–17, 2026 · Moody 50 Change Research · Sept. 7–9, 2026 · Moody 47 Quantus Insights · Sept. 8–10, 2026 · Moody 50 St. Pete Polls · Sept. 15–17, 2026 · Moody 45.2 InsiderAdvantage · Sept. 20–21, 2026 · Moody 49 Stetson University Center for Public Opinion Research · Sept. 14–21, 2026 · Moody 51 Change Research · Sept. 25–27, 2026 · Moody 48 Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy · Sept. 28–Oct. 1, 2026 · Moody 50 Targoz Market Research · Sept. 28–Oct. 4, 2026 · Moody 52 YouGov · Sept. 28–Oct. 5, 2026 · Moody 49 St. Pete Polls · Oct. 5–7, 2026 · Moody 46.8 Stetson University Center for Public Opinion Research · Oct. 1–9, 2026 · Moody 52 UNF Public Opinion Research Lab · July 8–17, 2026 · Nixon 42 Change Research · Sept. 7–9, 2026 · Nixon 47 Quantus Insights · Sept. 8–10, 2026 · Nixon 43 St. Pete Polls · Sept. 15–17, 2026 · Nixon 44.8 InsiderAdvantage · Sept. 20–21, 2026 · Nixon 42 Stetson University Center for Public Opinion Research · Sept. 14–21, 2026 · Nixon 40 Change Research · Sept. 25–27, 2026 · Nixon 47 Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy · Sept. 28–Oct. 1, 2026 · Nixon 40 Targoz Market Research · Sept. 28–Oct. 4, 2026 · Nixon 42 YouGov · Sept. 28–Oct. 5, 2026 · Nixon 44 St. Pete Polls · Oct. 5–7, 2026 · Nixon 44.9 Stetson University Center for Public Opinion Research · Oct. 1–9, 2026 · Nixon 41 Moody 52
Nixon 41
One point per poll, on the last day it was in the field. Open points are sponsored releases, filled points independent. Minor candidates are not plotted.
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40
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55
July 8–17
Oct. 1–9
UNF Public Opinion Research Lab · July 8–17, 2026 · Moody 50 Quantus Insights · Sept. 8–10, 2026 · Moody 50 St. Pete Polls · Sept. 15–17, 2026 · Moody 45.2 InsiderAdvantage · Sept. 20–21, 2026 · Moody 49 Stetson University Center for Public Opinion Research · Sept. 14–21, 2026 · Moody 51 Change Research · Sept. 25–27, 2026 · Moody 48 Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy · Sept. 28–Oct. 1, 2026 · Moody 50 Targoz Market Research · Sept. 28–Oct. 4, 2026 · Moody 52 YouGov · Sept. 28–Oct. 5, 2026 · Moody 49 St. Pete Polls · Oct. 5–7, 2026 · Moody 46.8 Stetson University Center for Public Opinion Research · Oct. 1–9, 2026 · Moody 52 UNF Public Opinion Research Lab · July 8–17, 2026 · Nixon 42 Quantus Insights · Sept. 8–10, 2026 · Nixon 43 St. Pete Polls · Sept. 15–17, 2026 · Nixon 44.8 InsiderAdvantage · Sept. 20–21, 2026 · Nixon 42 Stetson University Center for Public Opinion Research · Sept. 14–21, 2026 · Nixon 40 Change Research · Sept. 25–27, 2026 · Nixon 47 Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy · Sept. 28–Oct. 1, 2026 · Nixon 40 Targoz Market Research · Sept. 28–Oct. 4, 2026 · Nixon 42 YouGov · Sept. 28–Oct. 5, 2026 · Nixon 44 St. Pete Polls · Oct. 5–7, 2026 · Nixon 44.9 Stetson University Center for Public Opinion Research · Oct. 1–9, 2026 · Nixon 41 Moody 52
Nixon 41
One point per poll, on the last day it was in the field. Open points are sponsored releases, filled points independent. Minor candidates are not plotted.
Oct. 1–9, 2026 · 716 registered voters (modeled likely voters) · ±4.2 · Online non-probability panel
Ashley Moody (R) 52 Angie Nixon (D) 41 Undecided 6
Stetson University release → The Capitolist → Florida’s Voice → Florida Politics →
Oct. 5–7, 2026 · 836 likely voters · ±3.4 · Automated phone (57%) and P2P SMS (43%)
Ashley Moody (R) 46.8 Angie Nixon (D) 44.9 Someone else 2.3 Undecided 6.0
St. Pete Polls (PDF) → Florida Politics → CBS12 →
YouGov Independent
Moody +5
Sept. 28–Oct. 5, 2026 · 3,813 likely voters · ±2.7 · Text invitation to web survey
Ashley Moody (R) 49 Angie Nixon (D) 44 Other 1 Undecided 5
Newsweek → CBS12 →
Sept. 28–Oct. 4, 2026 · 857 likely voters (of 1,200 registered voters) · ±2.77 (full sample of 1,200 registered voters) · Online
Ashley Moody (R) 52 Angie Nixon (D) 42 Another candidate 2 Undecided 4
James Madison Institute → Poll marginals (PDF) → Florida’s Voice → Florida Politics →
Sept. 28–Oct. 1, 2026 · 625 registered voters likely to vote · ±4.0 · Live telephone
Ashley Moody (R) 50 Angie Nixon (D) 40 Neil Gillespie (I) 2 Undecided 8
NBC6 South Florida → CBS12 → NBC News →
Sept. 25–27, 2026 · 1,063 likely voters · ±2.8
Ashley Moody (R) 48 Angie Nixon (D) 47 Other/Undecided 5
Change Research → 270toWin →
Sept. 14–21, 2026 · 830 likely voters · ±4.3 · Online non-probability panel (Qualtrics)
Ashley Moody (R) 51 Angie Nixon (D) 40 Other 3 Undecided 5
Stetson CPOR release (PDF) → The Floridian → Florida Politics →
Sept. 20–21, 2026 · 600 likely voters · ±4.0 · Mixed-mode text and online panel
Ashley Moody (R) 49 Angie Nixon (D) 42 Other 2 Undecided 7
InsiderAdvantage → Political Wire →
Sept. 15–17, 2026 · 913 likely voters · ±3.2 · Automated phone (57%) and text (43%)
Ashley Moody (R) 45.2 Angie Nixon (D) 44.8 Other 2.9 Undecided 7.1
St. Pete Polls (PDF) → Florida Politics →
Sept. 8–10, 2026 · 733 likely voters · ±4.1
Ashley Moody (R) 50 Angie Nixon (D) 43 Other 3 Undecided 4
The Floridian → Florida Politics → Wikipedia — 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Florida →
Sept. 7–9, 2026 · 1,107 likely voters · ±2.8
Angie Nixon (D) 47 Ashley Moody (R) 47
Not reported: undecided share.
Change Research → Tampa Free Press →
July 8–17, 2026 · 848 likely midterm voters · ±3.8 · Phone (54%) and text-to-web (46%)
Ashley Moody (R) 50 Angie Nixon (D) 42 Other 1 Would not vote 1 Undecided 6
UNF PORL release (PDF) → UNF PORL press page →
Florida — Governor
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55
July 8–17
Through Oct. 11
UNF Public Opinion Research Lab · July 8–17, 2026 · Donalds 46 Targoz Market Research · July 20–26, 2026 · Donalds 45 Hart Research Associates · Aug. 10–13, 2026 · Donalds 45 Change Research · Sept. 7–9, 2026 · Donalds 44 St. Pete Polls · Sept. 15–17, 2026 · Donalds 43.5 Stetson University Center for Public Opinion Research · Sept. 14–21, 2026 · Donalds 51 Change Research · Sept. 25–27, 2026 · Donalds 46 Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy · Sept. 28–Oct. 1, 2026 · Donalds 48 Targoz Market Research · Sept. 28–Oct. 4, 2026 · Donalds 52 YouGov · Sept. 28–Oct. 5, 2026 · Donalds 47 St. Pete Polls · Oct. 5–7, 2026 · Donalds 44.7 Stetson University Center for Public Opinion Research · Oct. 1–9, 2026 · Donalds 52 Change Research · Oct. 8–10, 2026 · Donalds 47 MDW Communications · Through Oct. 10, 2026 · Donalds 46 Fabrizio, Lee & Associates · Through Oct. 11, 2026 · Donalds 49 UNF Public Opinion Research Lab · July 8–17, 2026 · Jolly 41 Targoz Market Research · July 20–26, 2026 · Jolly 38 Hart Research Associates · Aug. 10–13, 2026 · Jolly 46 Change Research · Sept. 7–9, 2026 · Jolly 47 St. Pete Polls · Sept. 15–17, 2026 · Jolly 43.4 Stetson University Center for Public Opinion Research · Sept. 14–21, 2026 · Jolly 39 Change Research · Sept. 25–27, 2026 · Jolly 48 Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy · Sept. 28–Oct. 1, 2026 · Jolly 41 Targoz Market Research · Sept. 28–Oct. 4, 2026 · Jolly 42 YouGov · Sept. 28–Oct. 5, 2026 · Jolly 45 St. Pete Polls · Oct. 5–7, 2026 · Jolly 44.6 Stetson University Center for Public Opinion Research · Oct. 1–9, 2026 · Jolly 41 Change Research · Oct. 8–10, 2026 · Jolly 47 MDW Communications · Through Oct. 10, 2026 · Jolly 44 Fabrizio, Lee & Associates · Through Oct. 11, 2026 · Jolly 43 Donalds 49
Jolly 43
One point per poll, on the last day it was in the field. Open points are sponsored releases, filled points independent.
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40
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50
55
July 8–17
Oct. 8–10
UNF Public Opinion Research Lab · July 8–17, 2026 · Donalds 46 Targoz Market Research · July 20–26, 2026 · Donalds 45 Hart Research Associates · Aug. 10–13, 2026 · Donalds 45 Change Research · Sept. 7–9, 2026 · Donalds 44 St. Pete Polls · Sept. 15–17, 2026 · Donalds 43.5 Stetson University Center for Public Opinion Research · Sept. 14–21, 2026 · Donalds 51 Change Research · Sept. 25–27, 2026 · Donalds 46 Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy · Sept. 28–Oct. 1, 2026 · Donalds 48 Targoz Market Research · Sept. 28–Oct. 4, 2026 · Donalds 52 YouGov · Sept. 28–Oct. 5, 2026 · Donalds 47 St. Pete Polls · Oct. 5–7, 2026 · Donalds 44.7 Stetson University Center for Public Opinion Research · Oct. 1–9, 2026 · Donalds 52 Change Research · Oct. 8–10, 2026 · Donalds 47 UNF Public Opinion Research Lab · July 8–17, 2026 · Jolly 41 Targoz Market Research · July 20–26, 2026 · Jolly 38 Hart Research Associates · Aug. 10–13, 2026 · Jolly 46 Change Research · Sept. 7–9, 2026 · Jolly 47 St. Pete Polls · Sept. 15–17, 2026 · Jolly 43.4 Stetson University Center for Public Opinion Research · Sept. 14–21, 2026 · Jolly 39 Change Research · Sept. 25–27, 2026 · Jolly 48 Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy · Sept. 28–Oct. 1, 2026 · Jolly 41 Targoz Market Research · Sept. 28–Oct. 4, 2026 · Jolly 42 YouGov · Sept. 28–Oct. 5, 2026 · Jolly 45 St. Pete Polls · Oct. 5–7, 2026 · Jolly 44.6 Stetson University Center for Public Opinion Research · Oct. 1–9, 2026 · Jolly 41 Change Research · Oct. 8–10, 2026 · Jolly 47 Jolly 47
Donalds 47
One point per poll, on the last day it was in the field. Open points are sponsored releases, filled points independent.
Through Oct. 11, 2026 · 1,200 likely voters
Byron Donalds (R) 49 David Jolly (D) 43 Other/Undecided 8
Not reported: field dates, margin of error.
Florida’s Voice → Florida Politics → ElectionsFLA →
Oct. 8–10, 2026 · 920 likely voters (of 1,106 registered voters) · ±3.1 (modeled) · Online opt-in
David Jolly (D) 47 Byron Donalds (R) 47 Undecided 5 Would not vote 1
Change Research methodology statement → ElectionsFLA → 270toWin →
Through Oct. 10, 2026 · 2,351 voters
Byron Donalds (R) 46 David Jolly (D) 44 Other/Undecided 10
Not reported: field dates, margin of error.
ElectionsFLA → Florida Politics →
Oct. 1–9, 2026 · 716 registered voters (modeled likely voters) · ±4.2 · Online non-probability panel
Byron Donalds (R) 52 David Jolly (D) 41 Other 3 Undecided 5
Stetson University release → The Capitolist → Florida’s Voice → Florida Politics →
Oct. 5–7, 2026 · 836 likely voters · ±3.4 · Automated phone (57%) and P2P SMS (43%)
Byron Donalds (R) 44.7 David Jolly (D) 44.6 Someone else 3.9 Undecided 6.9
St. Pete Polls (PDF) → Florida Politics → CBS12 →
YouGov Independent
Donalds +2
Sept. 28–Oct. 5, 2026 · 3,813 likely voters · ±2.7 · Text invitation to web survey
Byron Donalds (R) 47 David Jolly (D) 45 Other 1 Undecided 7
Newsweek → CBS12 →
Sept. 28–Oct. 4, 2026 · 857 likely voters (of 1,200 registered voters) · ±2.77 (full sample of 1,200 registered voters) · Online
Byron Donalds (R) 52 David Jolly (D) 42 Another candidate 3 Undecided 3
James Madison Institute → Poll marginals (PDF) → Florida’s Voice → Florida Politics →
Sept. 28–Oct. 1, 2026 · 625 registered voters likely to vote · ±4.0 · Live telephone
Byron Donalds (R) 48 David Jolly (D) 41 Other 1 Undecided 10
NBC6 South Florida → CBS12 → NBC News →
Sept. 25–27, 2026 · 1,063 likely voters · ±2.8
David Jolly (D) 48 Byron Donalds (R) 46 Other/Undecided 6
Change Research → 270toWin → Political Wire →
Sept. 14–21, 2026 · 830 likely voters · ±4.3 · Online non-probability panel (Qualtrics)
Byron Donalds (R) 51 David Jolly (D) 39 Other 5 Undecided 5
Stetson CPOR release (PDF) → The Floridian → Florida Politics →
Sept. 15–17, 2026 · 913 likely voters · ±3.2 · Automated phone (57%) and text (43%)
Byron Donalds (R) 43.5 David Jolly (D) 43.4 Other 4.3 Undecided 8.9
St. Pete Polls (PDF) → Florida Politics →
Sept. 7–9, 2026 · 1,107 likely voters · ±2.8
David Jolly (D) 47 Byron Donalds (R) 44 Other 1 Undecided 7
Change Research → Tampa Free Press → Political Cortadito →
Aug. 10–13, 2026 · 600 likely voters · ±4.0 · Landline, cell, and text-to-web; English and Spanish
David Jolly (D) 46 Byron Donalds (R) 45 Undecided 9
DGA release →
July 20–26, 2026 · 1,400 registered voters; likely-voter subsample reported · ±2.6
Byron Donalds (R) 45 David Jolly (D) 38 Undecided 17
Florida’s Voice →
July 8–17, 2026 · 848 likely midterm voters · ±3.8 · Phone (54%) and text-to-web (46%)
Byron Donalds (R) 46 David Jolly (D) 41 Other 5 Undecided 6
UNF PORL release (PDF) → UNF PORL press page →
Florida — Attorney General
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45
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55
Sept. 7–9
Oct. 5–7
Change Research · Sept. 7–9, 2026 · Rodríguez 46 St. Pete Polls · Sept. 15–17, 2026 · Rodríguez 41.6 Targoz Market Research · Sept. 28–Oct. 4, 2026 · Rodríguez 40 St. Pete Polls · Oct. 5–7, 2026 · Rodríguez 42.7 Change Research · Sept. 7–9, 2026 · Uthmeier 46 St. Pete Polls · Sept. 15–17, 2026 · Uthmeier 43.0 Targoz Market Research · Sept. 28–Oct. 4, 2026 · Uthmeier 50 St. Pete Polls · Oct. 5–7, 2026 · Uthmeier 45.3 Uthmeier 45.3
Rodríguez 42.7
One point per poll, on the last day it was in the field. Open points are sponsored releases, filled points independent.
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40
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50
55
Sept. 15–17
Oct. 5–7
St. Pete Polls · Sept. 15–17, 2026 · Uthmeier 43.0 Targoz Market Research · Sept. 28–Oct. 4, 2026 · Uthmeier 50 St. Pete Polls · Oct. 5–7, 2026 · Uthmeier 45.3 St. Pete Polls · Sept. 15–17, 2026 · Rodríguez 41.6 Targoz Market Research · Sept. 28–Oct. 4, 2026 · Rodríguez 40 St. Pete Polls · Oct. 5–7, 2026 · Rodríguez 42.7 Uthmeier 45.3
Rodríguez 42.7
One point per poll, on the last day it was in the field. Open points are sponsored releases, filled points independent.
Oct. 5–7, 2026 · 836 likely voters · ±3.4 · Automated phone (57%) and P2P SMS (43%)
James Uthmeier (R) 45.3 José Javier Rodríguez (D) 42.7 Undecided 12.1
St. Pete Polls (PDF) → Florida Politics →
Sept. 28–Oct. 4, 2026 · 857 likely voters (of 1,200 registered voters) · ±2.77 (full sample of 1,200 registered voters) · Online
James Uthmeier (R) 50 José Javier Rodríguez (D) 40 Another candidate 2 Undecided 7
James Madison Institute → Poll marginals (PDF) → Florida’s Voice → Florida Politics →
Sept. 15–17, 2026 · 913 likely voters · ±3.2 · Automated phone (57%) and text (43%)
James Uthmeier (R) 43.0 José Javier Rodríguez (D) 41.6 Undecided 15.4
St. Pete Polls (PDF) → Action News Jax →
Sept. 7–9, 2026 · 1,107 likely voters · ±2.8
José Javier Rodríguez (D) 46 James Uthmeier (R) 46
Not reported: undecided share.
Change Research → Tampa Free Press →
Florida — Chief Financial Officer
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40
45
50
Sept. 7–9
Oct. 5–7
Change Research · Sept. 7–9, 2026 · Taddeo 44 SEA Polling & Strategic Design · Sept. 7–13, 2026 · Taddeo 42 Targoz Market Research · Sept. 28–Oct. 4, 2026 · Taddeo 43 St. Pete Polls · Oct. 5–7, 2026 · Taddeo 42.0 Change Research · Sept. 7–9, 2026 · Ingoglia 44 SEA Polling & Strategic Design · Sept. 7–13, 2026 · Ingoglia 42 Targoz Market Research · Sept. 28–Oct. 4, 2026 · Ingoglia 43 St. Pete Polls · Oct. 5–7, 2026 · Ingoglia 44.3 Ingoglia 44.3
Taddeo 42.0
One point per poll, on the last day it was in the field. Open points are sponsored releases, filled points independent.
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40
45
50
Sept. 7–13
Oct. 5–7
SEA Polling & Strategic Design · Sept. 7–13, 2026 · Taddeo 42 Targoz Market Research · Sept. 28–Oct. 4, 2026 · Taddeo 43 St. Pete Polls · Oct. 5–7, 2026 · Taddeo 42.0 SEA Polling & Strategic Design · Sept. 7–13, 2026 · Ingoglia 42 Targoz Market Research · Sept. 28–Oct. 4, 2026 · Ingoglia 43 St. Pete Polls · Oct. 5–7, 2026 · Ingoglia 44.3 Ingoglia 44.3
Taddeo 42.0
One point per poll, on the last day it was in the field. Open points are sponsored releases, filled points independent.
Oct. 5–7, 2026 · 836 likely voters · ±3.4 · Automated phone (57%) and P2P SMS (43%)
Blaise Ingoglia (R) 44.3 Annette Taddeo (D) 42.0 Undecided 13.8
St. Pete Polls (PDF) → Florida Politics → Wikipedia — 2026 Florida CFO election →
Sept. 28–Oct. 4, 2026 · 857 likely voters (of 1,200 registered voters) · ±2.77 (full sample of 1,200 registered voters) · Online
Blaise Ingoglia (R) 43 Annette Taddeo (D) 43 Another candidate 4 Undecided 10
James Madison Institute → Poll marginals (PDF) → Florida’s Voice → Florida Politics →
Sept. 7–13, 2026 · 701 likely voters · ±3.7
Annette Taddeo (D) 42 Blaise Ingoglia (R) 42 Undecided 16
Political Cortadito → Florida Politics →
Sept. 7–9, 2026 · 1,107 likely voters · ±2.8
Annette Taddeo (D) 44 Blaise Ingoglia (R) 44
Not reported: undecided share.
Change Research → The Floridian →
Florida — Governor — Republican primary
July 20–26, 2026 · Likely Republican primary voters (subsample of 1,400 RV) · ±2.6 (full sample)
Byron Donalds 49 Jay Collins 18 Paul Renner 8 James Fishback 4
Not reported: undecided share.
Primary, Aug. 18: Donalds 47.8, Collins 25.2, Fishback 10.5, Renner 8.5.
Florida’s Voice →
Cygnal Sponsored
Donalds +31
July 12–13, 2026 · 500 likely Republican primary voters · ±4.4
Byron Donalds 43 James Fishback 12 Jay Collins 11 Paul Renner 2 Undecided 31
Primary, Aug. 18: Donalds 47.8, Collins 25.2, Fishback 10.5, Renner 8.5.
Cygnal →
Florida — Amendment 3 — homestead property-tax exemption
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30
40
50
60
70
June 22–24
Oct. 1–9
Sachs Media · June 22–24, 2026 · Support 64 UNF Public Opinion Research Lab · July 8–17, 2026 · Support 61 St. Pete Polls · Sept. 15–17, 2026 · Support 44.9 Stetson University Center for Public Opinion Research · Sept. 14–21, 2026 · Support 51 Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy · Sept. 28–Oct. 1, 2026 · Support 55 McLaughlin & Associates · Sept. 28–Oct. 1, 2026 · Support 53 Targoz Market Research · Sept. 28–Oct. 4, 2026 · Support 63 St. Pete Polls · Oct. 5–7, 2026 · Support 41.9 Stetson University Center for Public Opinion Research · Oct. 1–9, 2026 · Support 56 Sachs Media · June 22–24, 2026 · Oppose 36 UNF Public Opinion Research Lab · July 8–17, 2026 · Oppose 32 St. Pete Polls · Sept. 15–17, 2026 · Oppose 30.4 Stetson University Center for Public Opinion Research · Sept. 14–21, 2026 · Oppose 25 Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy · Sept. 28–Oct. 1, 2026 · Oppose 26 McLaughlin & Associates · Sept. 28–Oct. 1, 2026 · Oppose 28 Targoz Market Research · Sept. 28–Oct. 4, 2026 · Oppose 21 St. Pete Polls · Oct. 5–7, 2026 · Oppose 35.0 Support 56
Oppose 35.0
One point per poll, on the last day it was in the field. Open points are sponsored releases, filled points independent.
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30
40
50
60
70
Sept. 15–17
Oct. 5–7
St. Pete Polls · Sept. 15–17, 2026 · Support 44.9 Stetson University Center for Public Opinion Research · Sept. 14–21, 2026 · Support 51 Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy · Sept. 28–Oct. 1, 2026 · Support 55 McLaughlin & Associates · Sept. 28–Oct. 1, 2026 · Support 53 Targoz Market Research · Sept. 28–Oct. 4, 2026 · Support 63 St. Pete Polls · Oct. 5–7, 2026 · Support 41.9 St. Pete Polls · Sept. 15–17, 2026 · Oppose 30.4 Stetson University Center for Public Opinion Research · Sept. 14–21, 2026 · Oppose 25 Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy · Sept. 28–Oct. 1, 2026 · Oppose 26 McLaughlin & Associates · Sept. 28–Oct. 1, 2026 · Oppose 28 Targoz Market Research · Sept. 28–Oct. 4, 2026 · Oppose 21 St. Pete Polls · Oct. 5–7, 2026 · Oppose 35.0 Support 41.9
Oppose 35.0
One point per poll, on the last day it was in the field. Open points are sponsored releases, filled points independent.
Oct. 1–9, 2026 · 716 registered voters (modeled likely voters) · ±4.2 · Online non-probability panel
Support 56 Undecided 23
Not reported: opposition share.
Stetson University release → The Capitolist → Florida’s Voice → Florida Politics →
Oct. 5–7, 2026 · 836 likely voters · ±3.4 · Automated phone (57%) and P2P SMS (43%)
Support 41.9 Oppose 35.0 Undecided 23.1
St. Pete Polls (PDF) → FOX 13 Tampa Bay →
Sept. 28–Oct. 4, 2026 · 857 likely voters (of 1,200 registered voters) · ±2.77 (full sample of 1,200 registered voters) · Online
Support 63 Oppose 21 Undecided 15
James Madison Institute → Poll marginals (PDF) → Florida’s Voice → Florida Politics →
Sept. 28–Oct. 1, 2026 · 625 registered voters likely to vote · ±4.0 · Live telephone
Support 55 Oppose 26 Undecided 19
NBC6 South Florida → NBC6 — Amendment 3 detail → RISMedia →
Sept. 28–Oct. 1, 2026 · 800 likely voters · ±3.5 · Landline, cellphone, and text-to-web
Support 53 Oppose 28 Undecided 19
The Capitolist → The Floridian → Florida Politics →
Sept. 14–21, 2026 · 830 likely voters · ±4.3 · Online non-probability panel (Qualtrics)
Support 51 Oppose 25 Undecided 24
Stetson CPOR release (PDF) → Florida Politics →
Sept. 15–17, 2026 · 913 likely voters · ±3.2 · Automated phone (57%) and text (43%)
Support 44.9 Oppose 30.4 Undecided 24.8
St. Pete Polls (PDF) →
July 8–17, 2026 · 848 likely midterm voters · ±3.8
Support 61 Oppose 32
Not reported: undecided share.
UNF PORL release (PDF) →
June 22–24, 2026 · 850 voters, from the state voter file · ±3.8
Yes 64 No 36
Not reported: undecided share.
FlaglerLive → Florida Politics → The Floridian →